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Will the housing market crash in 2023 or 2024?

Real estate experts, Capital economics expect that home prices and the rise in home prices, in general, will likely see a slowdown in 2023 and into 2024. This does not mean that we will see another great recession but that we will have a decline in investing and in the number of homeowners looking to sell their homes.

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The housing market and house prices are monitored closely throughout the year and across decades for signs of a housing market crash and other signs that will factor into the overall world economy. It should be no surprise that there are already housing market predictions for 2024 as we head into 2023, with mortgage rates and the median home price fluctuating rapidly. Real estate investors and many national associations of realtors have turned to market experts for their predictions for the housing market if we will have a housing bubble and what could come of rising interest rates well into 2024. With the federal reserve raising interest rates, will we have a housing crash? According to the chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, Lawrence Yun believes that we are likely to see an overall price growth across the country of somewhere between 15% -25% in the next five years. Over the coming year, we will have more information on what exactly this will look like and a general direction of what the long-term outlook for home buyers could be going into 2024 in regard to home prices and overall home values. Many other senior economist see a bright future for the United States real estate market, despite the current state of high-interest rates and less demand for housing over the last year.

Why We See Changes in Markets Across the Country

Throughout history, there have been ups and downs in the market—but it's always recovered to some degree. The current dip in prices is considered a correction rather than anything permanent or catastrophic. The housing market is complex and affected by many factors. It will always be unpredictable because there are so many factors that influence it: interest rates; job growth; demographics; affordability; economic conditions (like inflation); foreign demand for U.S.-made homes; immigration policy; weather conditions around the country (especially coastal areas), and more!

How the Rental Market Affects Pricing and Your Mortgage

Real estate investing in the short-term rental market is at an all-time high for many markets due to the high average annual return investors can make off of residential properties with little to no money invested upfront.

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Investors are almost guaranteed a massive influx of interest in their rental properties with basic amenities, allowing them a positive cash flow within the first few weeks of posting their property on third-party sites like Airbnb and VRBO.  With the rise in house prices and mortgage rates, many buyers are simply being priced out of their markets, leaving more room for investors to continue to purchase single-family homes with a small down payment as an investment.  The more investors we see in the future looking to purchase homes in this current market could ultimately affect the growth of prices and increase of mortgage rates. These housing markets are directly affected by investing and don't seem to be too affected by rising home prices, mortgage rates, and other factors that often affect potential buyers, like utility prices, median household income levels, income inequality, and bus fares.

When Can We Expect a Buyer's Market to Return?

Many experts have weighed in on this topic and expect to see a buyer's market return to the real estate market by late 2023 to early 2024. This means that first-time home buyers, in particular, will have more buying power than they have had in the past two years and that property prices will stay stable or drop in many markets. This is promising for buyers who have battled inflation and rising demand for housing in a relatively short time frame since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. We will get back to you as soon as possible. Oops, there was an error sending your message.

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Will Housing Prices See a Big Shift in 2024?

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